Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.175038 0.202918 0.233811 0.270588 0.313186 0.360993 0.418745
2025-07-06 0.130280 0.167153 0.212302 0.271677 0.347779 0.442153 0.568275
2025-07-13 0.111293 0.153023 0.207720 0.284721 0.390485 0.530920 0.732052
2025-07-20 0.097241 0.141485 0.202799 0.294063 0.426731 0.613036 0.895463
2025-07-27 0.086571 0.132289 0.198776 0.302644 0.461248 0.695067 1.067467
2025-08-03 0.076678 0.122419 0.191870 0.305165 0.485950 0.764317 1.227729
2025-08-10 0.067309 0.111837 0.182157 0.301486 0.499705 0.817279 1.367774
2025-08-17 0.058367 0.100623 0.169819 0.291606 0.501562 0.850523 1.478493
2025-08-24 0.053889 0.096178 0.167829 0.298337 0.531325 0.932176 1.679389
2025-08-31 0.049108 0.090547 0.163048 0.299436 0.551061 0.998294 1.860111
2025-09-07 0.045417 0.086371 0.160236 0.303516 0.576241 1.076186 2.070470
2025-09-14 0.040824 0.079948 0.152580 0.297629 0.582037 1.118928 2.219219
2025-09-21 0.037124 0.074871 0.147004 0.295323 0.594923 1.177398 2.407604
2025-09-28 0.034294 0.071176 0.143674 0.297052 0.616007 1.254201 2.642359
2025-10-05 0.033099 0.070627 0.146434 0.311297 0.663907 1.389351 3.012910
2025-10-12 0.031582 0.069211 0.147245 0.321518 0.704480 1.513774 3.375441
2025-10-19 0.030107 0.067703 0.147671 0.330905 0.744235 1.640646 3.758267
2025-10-26 0.028195 0.065000 0.145226 0.333662 0.769612 1.739052 4.088799
2025-11-02 0.025934 0.061242 0.140048 0.329638 0.779110 1.803125 4.347644
2025-11-09 0.023408 0.056578 0.132325 0.318830 0.771576 1.827520 4.515339
2025-11-16 0.022372 0.055326 0.132297 0.326193 0.807988 1.957956 4.955467
2025-11-23 0.021019 0.053147 0.129847 0.327395 0.829502 2.055148 5.324499
2025-11-30 0.019974 0.051612 0.128772 0.331858 0.859586 2.176330 5.768820